A new report from UC Berkeley researchers says that a wave of neighborhood gentrification and displacement of low-income households in the Bay Area is not even half over. In fact, it claims that the trend is just beginning. The comprehensive report features an interactive map that can help you figure out if your home is in the gentrification/displacement crosshairs, as well as items that disturb. In addition to claiming there's no end in sight to the trend, they offer insight on the neighborhoods most likely to slip into the category of impossible for many to afford.
According to researchers (and, frankly, common sense) if you live near a train station, around a lot of historic homes or within spitting distance of market-rate development and you fall into a lower income bracket, then you could be looking for new, less-expensive digs in the future. (And, in an almost laughable understatement, the report notes that the Mission District is turning "high-end residential.") The San Francisco Business Journal takes away some of the guesswork by breaking down several of the most "at risk" neighborhoods in the region.
That's not to say it's all grim. The report calls out communities that are keeping their heads above water and their character intact. According to a summary of key findings: "Many neighborhoods that expected to be at risk of displacement — such as East Palo Alto, Marin City and San Francisco's Chinatown — have been surprisingly stable. This is likely due to a combination of subsidized housing production, tenant protections, rent control and strong community organizing."
Read more of the report here, and perhaps weep.
· More gentrification, displacement in Bay Area forecast [UC Berkeley]
· Gentrification is heading toward these low-income Bay Area neighborhoods [SF Business Journal]